with Oli | Strategies


Welcome to the “National” Rock …

Once upon a time there was a large UK based lender called Northern Rock …

It had a stupid business model and failed acordingly …

Everybody tried to find a buyer … Goldman Sachs advised the Government … but not even THEM wanted to make a decent bid ;)

So the ashamed Government had to take it on its own …

And if there happens no miracle, it will be forever …

The moral of this true story?

Everything is possible as stupidity has no limits :)

This shows, that the crisis has a long way to go …

- Years of “surprises” still to come … at least until 2010

- Stupid investors surprised by falling real estate prices … 50% should be easy to reach

- Stupid banks finding less value on their balance sheets … as UBS, now rumored to have to write off ADDITIONAL 20 bln$! …

- Even more stupid insurance companies facing the same problems … What AIG finds, ALL should and will find

and last but not least …

- Stupid Governments and stupid centralbank triying to avoid the inevitable :) U.K., USA, Germany, France … all following the same path … Italy and Spain will certainly follow soon …

Who is up next???

I will hold my hands still tomorrow … US holiday … the last one, we had SocGen going nuts … this time, we have the NATIONAL ROCK story …

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