with Oli | Strategies


FED about to strike …

If you don’t understand, why equity markets hesitate to fall …
here comes the explanation :)

The FED is expected to STRIKE any time soon!!!

Not a simple emergency cut … as it does not make sense …

2yr paper is trading at or even below 1.5% … FED cuts are not passed on to clients … so the FED started talking about different measures and is expected to start them SOON!!!

As markets keep struggling and fundamentals fall apart and even measures to pump 100bln $ into the markets have not the desired effect, the FED has to do the UNTHINKABLE!

It has to not only finance the “nuclear waste” … it has to BUY it … POOR TAXPAYERS

It is said, that the FED will use its arsenals to put on a GIANT CARRYTRADE … selling for example 2 yr. paper for 1.5% yield and buy the Govt. backed bonds like Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, which will end up anyway being paid by the taxpayer … or even buy them OUTRIGHT …

Even Bill Gross recommends to do that … or does he know already and this explains that he recently started to buy these bonds ;)

Some FED watchers even think, the FED could “GO NUCLEAR” by lending money directly to non-banking-companies as there is the feeling, that the money does not reach the ones who need it …

Conclusion:
As the FED starts acting like a “drowning man” … hitting around, fighting for survival of the financial system … EVERYTHING is possible!!!
Could lead to a short term SQUEEZE in equities … but to be honest …

Until there is a real change … I will SELL any bounce!

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