with Oli | Strategies


FED action … this time different?

All the last FED cuts had one thing in common …

A HUGE RALLYE in equity markets ahead of the decision as everybody anticipated the move.

Then after the decision, market sold off … every time …

NOW … IT IS DIFFERENT!!!

We go into a FED meeting not only without a rallye, but with RECORD PESSIMISM …

Even with some mistrust into FED action.

So will we tomorrow LACK the selling and even see BUYING???

We are trading at multi-month lows and quite everybody is outright bearish!!!

FIRST TIME in a long time :)

So this time a short sell off, as market does not get (I hope!) the full point, but then

BIG TIME SHORTCOVERING as markets says … ups … if FED does not give 100bps, the situation might be better than we thought???

3-month-bills traded today at the lowest yield since 1958(!!!)

So this time … PPT, pusher boys and bouncing Bobs GO GO GO ;)

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