with Oli | Strategies


The payroll denial …

We now seem to face the payroll denial after we had/have the subprime denial and the home sales denial …

or is that part of the brain washing and the manipulation? ;)

The subprime denial …

it started with a “contained situation” and a maximum(!) 100bln$ of POSSIBLE losses for the industry …

The count is now coming close to 300bln$ and estimations are … we’ve not seen more than half of it …

The home sales denial …

every number was made looking better as they revised then the previous month … how funny, but not helping.

Now again:

The pay roll denial …

Reported figures are revised down the next month … and even with the Govt. ADDING jobs, numbers are even worse than the expectations …

Jan. reported minus 17k … now we talk minus 76k
Feb. reported minus 63k … now again minus 76k
today … March … minus 80k … AUTSCH!!!

Remember, that we had yesterday a HUGE number of jobless claims … all these guys are APRIL! not MARCH cases.

The economy STARTS feeling the stress … and all the talking heads talk about the end …

I can’t believe it :)

After this week’s “fresh money buying”, the market will have to show the next 2 weeks, whether there is any followthrough or whether we only had a small “sucker’s rallye”.

I hold my breath …

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