with Oli | Strategies


H1 or killing me softly :)

Market seems still to be in denial as there is still discussion going on, whether we are in a BEAR MARKET :)

At least no discussion about that in Germany or France … both indices lost 20+ % in H1 …

Here some of the DIAMONDS of the american market … with one question …

If this is not a bear market … what will be one? :D

The alltime high was reached in October … Do you remember?

Since then, the following equities LOST from their respective 52-week-highs …

MORE THAN 70% … General Motors, Lehman and Wachovia

MORE THAN 60% … Citigroup, AIG, Merill, Sprint

MORE THAN 50% … Bank of A., Morgan Stanley, Ford

Even “sparkling” Goldman lost more than 30% … GE lost more than 35%

AUTSCH …

Houses lost only around 16% within the last year ;) so cheer up …

Inflation is not a problem … if you live on Orange Juice … down close to 20% since the start of the year :)

But hopefully you neither eat nor drive nor heat your cheap house …

In H1 nearly all commodities rose …

Natural Gas is up around 75%, Oil “only” around 45% …

Corn is up 60%, wheat only 10% …

Even our morning coffee rose around 10% …

And we are still neither in a recession nor in a bear market … and inflation is under control … ;)

If you or anybody still believes the words of the cheerleaders … Bernanke & friends …

H2 will be better … for the BEARS?

Let’s see :) Stay tuned!

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