with Oli | Strategies


I am a bull … for now

Reasons:

- We had now an EXTREME Sell Off.

- We had a RECORD VIX reading AND(!) today a higher reading, not confirmed by lower prices.

- The VIX made a reversal today … after hitting 81(!!!) we closed at 67.

- Breadth readings are at all time low.

- Today, EVERYBODY I talked to was bearish.

- The DAX Cash held its 76% retracement.

- Most Earnings come in BETTER than expected, even from banks and techs.

- Everybody who is not already shaken out, will not be shaken out on the next “some” points either.

- The monthly chart had the “wide-range-bar”, which often tells you, a correction is due.

So … do I think, we will go straight up? NO :)

Do I think, the crisis has been solved? NO :)

I just think, that it is the time to be contrarian … as I did not like to own a single stock, one year ago, now I DON’T WANT TO BE SHORT ONE ;)

IMHO … HERE is a short term bottom … around here I think, it is worth a buy for a bounce and(!) a long term buy as well …

If it gets cheaper … I will buy more :)

NO LEVERAGE … just an affordable position …

What I saw today, I rate a STRONG BUY SIGNAL!

If time allows, I might post some charts tomorrow!

Take care and enjoy the ride!

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