with Oli | Strategies


Archive for November, 2008

Service Announcement …

Dienstag, November 25th, 2008

Due to a business trip, next update will come Monday, 1st of December …
BTW … just read in an email, that “Riding The Dax” now exists more than 1 year … 11th of November 2007 was the start date …
Thanks for making me aware … I might have cake later
And as 1 year […]

EURO and OIL … REVISITED

Dienstag, November 25th, 2008

We had BULL markets in both … an UGLY overshooting in OIL … a nailing the top in EURO …
Now a superb correction … TIME TO LOOK TO THE UPSIDE(!!!) again!!!
Here is the post … 18th of APRIL 2008
Post 18.April 2008
Now … here the charts … and the explanation …
First … OIL

Copyright by Tradestation
Then […]

ALL “SUBPRIME RIDERS” SHOT DOWN … MS last one standing

Montag, November 24th, 2008

All major Subprime-involved companies have been (at least partially) nationalized, taken over or left bankrupt … the only one left standing is Morgan Stanley … Congrats
We had …
Citibank … today partially nationalized …
Bear Stearns … taken by JPMorgan
Lehman … allowed to fail
Countrywide Financial … taken by Bank of America
Merill Lynch … takeover by […]

If the FED were a normal bank …

Sonntag, November 23rd, 2008

If the Fed were a normal bank, it would be close to being closed
How far the situation is out of control, an article in the new issue of Barron’s highlights:
- If the FED were a commercial lender, it would be a candidate for receivership, based on its capital ratios. Bank examiners generally view […]

Citi going belly up???

Mittwoch, November 19th, 2008

Will Citibank become the 1st HIGH PROFILE VICTIM of the financial crisis?
Will this put the system to the REAL TEST???
Will that be an event, which triggers a REAL MELTDOWN???
Even a CURRENCY REFORM???
Citibank is still full of BIGHEADED OVERLEVERAGED STUPID Guys who still live in DENIAL …
Still a 60-times Leverage … Still no clue … Still […]

Obama’s 1st action … JOKE

Mittwoch, November 19th, 2008

I like that joke, so I decided to share it with you
CHANGE happens

The Hedge Fund Riddle …

Dienstag, November 18th, 2008

The hedge fund industry is beaten down, locking in horror performances and running away from equities … so …
What will happen now???
First some quotes out of a Bloomberg article … to get a feeling, how bad it is
- Hedge-fund manager David Tepper entered the third quarter with $3.1 billion of U.S. stocks and […]

Citibank … cutting jobs is not enough

Dienstag, November 18th, 2008

Citibank still thinks, it can make things turn around by cutting jobs and slash costs …
They might be EXTREMELY WRONG!!!
They have to DELEVERAGE!!!
WSJ today has some figures, which should make you scared!!!
- Tangible assets, which don’t include goodwill or intangibles, are 55 times the bank’s tangible equity. J.P. Morgan Chase, by contrast, is 31.4 times, […]