with Oli | Strategies


Archive for Februar, 2009

The BEAR growls …

Freitag, Februar 20th, 2009

Today is expiration day … and yesterday the Dow Jones closed at a NEW LOW, confirming the bear market. A lot of main indices (S&P, NQ, DAX) still in denial, but should follow soon. Here a fine quote of Richard Russell, editor of Dow Theory Letters: “With a great bear market [now] in force, we’re [...]

The Bond-Miracle ???

Mittwoch, Februar 18th, 2009

As nobody so far was able to explain the Bond-Miracle to me … I just ask you First the facts … – we will have all-time-record-supply of BONDS coming as all these daily help programs some day need to be refinanced. – printing money is inflationary … at least I heard this. – FED sees [...]

Just a short research piece …

Dienstag, Februar 17th, 2009

Just a short quote from the Hedge Fund Monitor … published by Merill Lynch Large Specs still long the SPX, short the NDX Note: Commitment of Traders data reflects positions as of last’s Tues close Equities: Large specs continued to reduce their significant net long position in the S&P 500 futures last week. We assume [...]

What could keep us from new lows? IF :)

Montag, Februar 16th, 2009

As the situation IMHO is absolutely clear … We will hit new lows in equities I try to think up a scenario, which could prove me wrong … I found one … and only ONE!!! As we could read over the weekend, the big industrial nations … thanks for the hint Mrs Merkel … agreed [...]

SOLUTION for CITIBANK …

Donnerstag, Februar 12th, 2009

Here an good idea about the “new economy”. YES, WE CAN The Somali pirates, renegade Somalis known for hijacking ships for ransom in the Gulf of Aden, are negotiating a purchase of Citigroup. The pirates would buy Citigroup with new debt and their existing cash stockpiles, earned most recently from hijacking numerous ships, including most [...]

Geithner = LOSER

Dienstag, Februar 10th, 2009

What a LOSER!!! Not only that he thought that not paying his taxes would pass unnoticed … He had to present a plan to “save the planet” … and came EMPTYHANDED!!! Talking numbers does not help … the truth … He is a LOSER … as Bernanke … NO charisma … NO market knowledge … [...]

Why does the market wait?

Montag, Februar 9th, 2009

Wait to fall I mean The only reason is … market fears to be betrayed again … So they wait for the announcements … Stimulus package and bail-out plan And then we will sell off … why? – The stimulus needs longer than everybody thinks and is smaller than the pure number shows – Bail-out [...]

Manipulation strikes again …

Donnerstag, Februar 5th, 2009

After witnessing over the last days INCREDIBLE buying in equities … especially in Europe … the explanation seems to be near … “Ideas” are being spread that one of the key points of the Geithner-bailout-plan will be … a possible easing or elimination of mark to market accounting rules. So … why don’t I establish [...]