with Oli | Strategies


3rd 10% bounce this year …

Today we completed the THIRD(!) 10% bounce for the markets in 2009.

And guess what? … YES, I’m going to fade it … AGAIN.

We might have some air still left, BUT most of the bounce is done IMHO.

So … nice and smooth I will start to SELL any intraday “spike” or overbought levels again … Friday next week is the big March expiration.
I would NOT be surprised at all to see a RETEST of the lows by then.

Look at the “news” propelling the market higher … IF you believe the talking heads.

- GE was downgraded LESS than feared …

- BoA will earn 50bln$ before taxes & provisions this year … BEFORE!!! :)

- GM does not need (NOW) the 2 bln$ they requested for March …

Take it as a technical rallye after a sharp 20% sell off, nothing more, nothing less.

Take care!

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