with Oli | Strategies


Posts Tagged ‘daily outlook’

Day 13

Dienstag, Dezember 4th, 2007

Situation:
U.S. Markets: Finished in the red … could have completed an ABC-Type correction … which could spark buying today. Fed seems to be trapped to deliver on a rate cut … 50bps seems a real possibility … even a bigger cut for the discount rate seems possible … OMG … Merill announced that they implemented […]

Day 12

Montag, Dezember 3rd, 2007

Situation:
U.S. Markets: Finished Friday mixed, Techs down on Goldman downgrade … despite last weeks rally, November still was the worst month in 4 years … showing losses of more than 4% , Nasdaq even close to 7%.
Asian Markets: Mixed, China railway dissappoints as it jumps only 56% above IPO price … funny people analysts […]

Day 11

Freitag, November 30th, 2007

Situation:
U.S. Markets: Stabilized after the 2 day squeeze … up this morning on Bernanke hinting to a December rate cut and the WSJ reporting, that the Govt. will “freeze” rates on subprime loans … hmmm … this sounds like old communist politics … ooops …
housing figures were bad … Sears and Dell earnings bad as […]

Day 10

Donnerstag, November 29th, 2007

They lit the candles in New York … and not only the X-mas tree at Rockefeller Center is sparkling …
Markets providing the fireworks …
Situation:
U.S. Markets: Squeezed higher on weak economic outlook, falling oil and FED hints, interest rate cuts near … Markets now see a 94% chance of Fed cut in December … Financials outperform […]

Day 9

Mittwoch, November 28th, 2007

And we keep on rollercoasting …
Situation:
U.S. Markets: Gained around 1.5% on interest rate cut hopes as consumer confidence was very week and Goldman and Merill both said that rcession risk higher than thought before. And as oil comes down a bit … this as well is (suddenly) thought to be positive *smile* The Citibank […]

Day 8

Dienstag, November 27th, 2007

Situation:
U.S. Markets: Lost more than 2% till the closing bell … now recovering as Citibank receives 7.5bln$ from Abu Dhabi.
Asian Markets: recovered most of their losses, Japan closing even up as Yen weakens on Citibank deal … news agencies see reviving appetite for the carry trade … PLEASE BoJ … HIKE THE RATES!!!! PLEASE […]

Day 7

Dienstag, November 20th, 2007

Situation:
U.S. Markets: Lost more than 1.5% till the closing bell … then up … on good HWP figures, an Asian turnaround and short covering ahead of the FED minutes and forecasts.
Asian Markets: turned around losses of up to 3% on shortcovering ahead of the FED
Commodities/Currencies : Yen turns around to weaken a bit …
Events: US […]

Day 6

Montag, November 19th, 2007

Situation:
U.S. Markets: Up small on exiration … as Fed and Thanksgiving loom, bounce attempt?
Asian Markets: mixed to small down … waiting on the FED
Commodities: Euro a touch weaker esp. against Yen
Events: US … NAHB housing index … late in the day only …
Europe … Dax still facing downside pressure … should test downside once more […]