with Oli | Strategies


Posts Tagged ‘ECB’

Happy 4th of July …

Donnerstag, Juli 3rd, 2008

Thanks to Mr Trichet, who sold a “one-raise-done-for-now” to the public, markets stabilized
But especially the US market did not really bounce away from the “edge of the cliff”.
The shortened session ended flat … if you want to see it positively.
So enjoy your long weekend and let’s see, what next week brings

Payrolls and ECB could push the market off the cliff …

Mittwoch, Juli 2nd, 2008

Difficult day tomorrow … a “half day” in America with Friday being a national holiday …
And the markets are at the cliff’s edge … still balancing … but without any firm grip …
What will we see???
- the third bounce from this level … which would be very rare?
- a short lived bounce which will be […]

“They” are afraid …

Dienstag, Juni 10th, 2008

ECB and FED are afraid … they talked the truth … at least a bit …
The market reacted … that made them scared … them, the stupid cheerleading manipulators
Now they start again talking markets up …
- We said SMALL rate hikes only
- We are in NO HURRY to hike
- We are not even […]

Fed to follow in ECB’s footsteps?

Montag, Juni 9th, 2008

Fed seemingly got the message of the ECB …
The message is …
We waited long enough … now you should have your problems solved …
We will start hiking rates … follow or bury the US $
Reckless naughty french boy … Mr Trichet … his friends call him J.C.
Today … two […]

ECB takes the lead …

Donnerstag, Juni 5th, 2008

ECB today made clear, that there is NO CHANCE for a rate cut …
Due to the current inflation picture, most of the ECB council members see a case for a RATE HIKE …
Trichet sees the possibility for a JULY “small” rate hike …
So … this means NO MORE RATE CUTS … neither from the […]

The UK crisis haunts again …

Montag, Juni 2nd, 2008

A total of EUR791 million was borrowed in overnight funds at the 5.00% penalty rate as of Sunday, the European Central Bank said. AUTSCH …
UK lenders sold off heavily as Bradford and Bingley (down more than 23%) came out with a profit warning …
Northern Rock replayed???
HBOS were down more than 11% as investors ducked […]

BONDS … selling off

Donnerstag, Mai 29th, 2008

Bonds are selling off as June contracts are close to expire …
WHY???
Inflation is ramping, credit crunch seems managable … so the Hedges are SOLD.
And now the speculation starts … WHAT’s NEXT???
Interest rates HAVE TO RISE!!! Next step of FED and ECB will be UP … a rate HIKE!!!
This is reflected first in selling of long […]

What now?

Donnerstag, Mai 8th, 2008

Markets are hesitating to move away from the current level …
So far May hast produced twice the “1-day-squeeze-2-days-sell-pattern” …
Tomorrow will be interesting as we get our deserved weekly candle …
In the S&P, 1400 is the watershed … as last week opened here …
A close below 1400 would call for more downside … the financials […]