with Oli | Strategies


Posts Tagged ‘expiration’

Back to reality?

Donnerstag, Juli 17th, 2008

Back to reality?
2 days of a bounce … that seems to be everything, one can ask for …
After the close market was reminded that …
- Financials are still not over it … Merill numbers were BAD … today we await Citibank …
- Even Techs can miss again … Dollar weakness alone does not let earnings […]

B.B..B…BOUNCE :)

Mittwoch, Juli 16th, 2008

Here we go …
SEC’s “short rule”, Wells Fargo’s dividend hike, chart supports, small VIX spike, down manipulated oil, margin calls, Friday’s expiration and the soon to be released earnings reports …
Take whatever you want … believe the talking heads or have your own plan
Nothing changed … it is still Benanke & friends […]

Back and kind of amused … BOUNCE ALERT!!!

Dienstag, Juli 15th, 2008

Market volatility is getting nastier by the day … if you trade them … nice or nasty P&L Swings guaranteed …
Anyway … situation fundamentally unchanged … the financial system is fragile … BE AWARE!
Today we reached … and so far HELD some KEY LEVELS in the markets … so BOUNCE ALERT!!!
Dax held downchannel at 6025 […]

Expiration week … or … Goldman’s playground

Dienstag, Juni 17th, 2008

Expiration week … means high(er) volatility and funny moves …
A good example was today … charts looked weak … BUT
in today’s world … the “ones who know” … have the power …
So what happened … Europe went bid … slowly … but steadily …
Then some fundamental news … again all weak … creating short positions […]

Sometimes … the market makes me smile

Mittwoch, Juni 11th, 2008

Why does the market makes me smile?
Because it is falling? NOOOOO …
The reason is the difference about real reasons … and what the media tells us
Here comes the last example …
Last Thursday, markets were squeezing higher and totally ignored the bond insurer downgrades …
Since then … without being recognized in the media … […]

Complacency … or just month end?

Freitag, Mai 30th, 2008

Watch out for next weeks action as we prepare for the JUNE FUTURE EXPIRATION …
Over the last days, markets seem to be rising again … against all news one finds
Today’s masterpiece … and nobody noticed it …
According to Bloomberg news, Moody’s has a new ratings unit !!!
An analytical team which operates separately(!!!) […]

Expiration … and everybody had to buy … again

Freitag, Mai 16th, 2008

After 10 days of stepping sideways … not being able to move …
today expiration demand overwhelmed sellers.
We finally reached our 7190 Dax cash target … What’s next?
Next week will be very interesting as bulls now are under pressure to fefend their territory.
Next week will decide, whether we go into rallye mode, squeezing up to around […]

HAPPY EASTER …

Donnerstag, März 20th, 2008

I wish you all a peaceful easter holiday!
After having a look at today’s markets … very thin and waiting for erratic expiration related moves …
I call it a day
Take care!
See you back on Tuesday
Best regards Oli