Nice downrally today as many investors abondaned equity positions ahead of H1 end.
2 pieces made all run for cover …
1. Goldman Sachs recommends to SHORT Citibank and Merill because of MORE WRITE OFFS …
2. Rating agency Fitch sees a possible cash crunch in 2009 for GM and Chrysler … even rumours of an immediate filing […]

Expiration week … means high(er) volatility and funny moves …
A good example was today … charts looked weak … BUT
in today’s world … the “ones who know” … have the power …
So what happened … Europe went bid … slowly … but steadily …
Then some fundamental news … again all weak … creating short positions […]

Please be aware, that Goldman finishes its Q2 end of the month … and if I’m not mistaken, Lehman and Morgan Stanley as well …
SO … in the case you wonder, why Oil is flying and stocks are leaking …
Think about, who could be behind the move?
Guessed it?
You said GOLDMAN???
You win the price … […]

Goldman hikes their forecast for the average price of crude oil for H2 2008 …
from 107 to 141(!!!) $ …
If they are right … equity markets should suffer BIG time …
Even if retail sales rise … on gasoline sales
Reason for the Goldman action is higher demand from China due to the earthquake, […]

Not only me
After technical targets were reached, selling set in … WHO?
YES The ones who “know” … PPT was rumoured to sell the rally, using demand from underinvested HF’s …
Funny … but true …
Now they hide it behind the Goldman OIL story and the UBS statement, that MONOLINE WRITE OFFS MIGHT […]

Or … in other words … much money … no brain
The facts … of today only …
-UBS … dissappointing figures … even after very weak expectations …
says … MORE WRITE OFFS … sees MONOLINE induced ones … AUTSCH
-FNM … worse than expected … but positive talk despite their view, housing market will […]

After the negative surprise of GE … especially after they mentioned that they got hit within the last 2 weeks of March … due to the Bear Stearns turmoil …
We start to understand, why the financials start to move on to clean up their act … at least a bit.
And it seems to be AWFUL!!!
Citibank […]

We are still stuck … Market can’t rise, doesn’t want to fall …
BoE lowered rates and ECB kept them unchanged … as expected
WalMart guided higher … as Americans buy on the cheap as they face problems.
Dupont guided higher … on exchange rates.
Intel got upgraded …
At least something.
But as problems persist, highlighted by especially Goldman Sachs […]