with Oli | Strategies


Posts Tagged ‘housing’

H1 or killing me softly :)

Montag, Juni 30th, 2008

Market seems still to be in denial as there is still discussion going on, whether we are in a BEAR MARKET
At least no discussion about that in Germany or France … both indices lost 20+ % in H1 …
Here some of the DIAMONDS of the american market … with one question …
If this […]

The UK crisis haunts again …

Montag, Juni 2nd, 2008

A total of EUR791 million was borrowed in overnight funds at the 5.00% penalty rate as of Sunday, the European Central Bank said. AUTSCH …
UK lenders sold off heavily as Bradford and Bingley (down more than 23%) came out with a profit warning …
Northern Rock replayed???
HBOS were down more than 11% as investors ducked […]

More housing related pain …

Donnerstag, Mai 29th, 2008

No, I’m not talking about RECORD falls in house prices …
Yesterday, S&P downgraded a huge bunch of so called Alt-A MORTGAGE- backed securities …
NEW YORK (Standard & Poor’s) May 28, 2008–Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services today lowered its ratings on 1,326 classes of U.S. residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) certificates issued in the first […]

Monthend comes closer … manipulation alarm :)

Dienstag, Mai 27th, 2008

Let’s see, whether we face our “usual bump” during the last tradingdays of the month and the first trading days of the new month
It will be interesting, whether they, the PPT, make it bounce once more …
Fundamental news … ALL NEGATIVE!!!
-Consumer confidence … PLUNGING … 16-year-low
-Inflation pressure rising … despite Oil coming back […]

Technical issues …

Mittwoch, Mai 14th, 2008

Unfortunately, I encounter since yesterday major electricity and internet outages
Hope to be back up soon … thanks for bearing with me!
Today’s news … ALL negative …
- BoE sees inflation for several(!) quarters above target … risk for LOWER growth … recession possible.
- Moody’s again looking at bond insurers … BE AWARE!!!
- US foreclosures […]

Still sentiment against fundamentals …

Dienstag, Mai 6th, 2008

Or … in other words … much money … no brain
The facts … of today only …
-UBS … dissappointing figures … even after very weak expectations …
says … MORE WRITE OFFS … sees MONOLINE induced ones … AUTSCH
-FNM … worse than expected … but positive talk despite their view, housing market will […]

U.K. to beat U.S. ?

Freitag, März 28th, 2008

As we all know, the U.S. real estate market is facing a big crisis …
Prices are going down, the consumer is hurt and the economy starts to roll over.
But … at least the U.S. has a falling currency, which helps, and Helicopter Ben, doing until the impossible to float the boat
Even if it […]

White knight of the day … (vulg. manipulation)

Donnerstag, März 13th, 2008

Every day the same story … market heads south … on REAL data …
Today … retail sales … HORRIBLE … HFs going under … Bear Stearns about to go belly up
Then … a white knight appears … if it is not Heli-Ben it is one of his “a**kissers” …
Today … even two of them […]