with Oli | Strategies


Posts Tagged ‘Merill Lynch’

Write offs to continue …

Montag, Februar 25th, 2008

Oppenheimer and Goldman Sachs bring the RED INK to the financials again.
Goldman might be oportunistic as it sees cuts for Q1 but does not really change the 2008 outlook by too much … You know … HOPE is important
They expect:
- Citibank to write off a further 12 bln$
- JP Morgan to write off […]

Negative sentiment keeps market up …

Mittwoch, Februar 13th, 2008

Extreme negative investor sentiment keeps market up, a Merill Lynch study shows:
- Investors are hoarding more cash then at any time since the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks
- Money managers turned “underweight” equities for the first time since March 2003
- The majority of respondents now say markets are facing a period stagflation
- 51% percent of respondents […]

SocGen … a case against ALL financials

Montag, Januar 28th, 2008

Reading the stories coming out after the SocGen MISMANAGEMENT … not a rogue trader … absolute reckless mismanagement made it happen … makes me sick!!!
Where were/are all the supervising authorities???
SEC? BaFin? Whatever their name is … WHERE THE HELL ARE YOU??? Or are you all stupid underpaid bastards??? Helpless or blind? Or just waiting for […]

Bond Insurers … has the domino-kind-meltdown started?

Sonntag, Januar 20th, 2008

Bond insurer ACA’s rating was slashed by S&P from A to CCC in December, but they gave them a lifeline, which expired Friday. If the CCC rating now becomes effective, it will create the next round of write offs at financials.
Friday now, Fitch cut Ambac’s rating from AAA to AA. Moody’s warned last Wednesday, that […]

Day 29 … result

Freitag, Januar 18th, 2008

Volatility at its best or at its worst? Dax opened with around 70 point GAP, the high was around 200 points higher als yesterday evening’s low and we sold off below that low, around 30 points below that, only to recover after that.
EXPIRATION DAY or Masochist’s Ball
General Electric figures came in good, […]

Day 28 … result

Donnerstag, Januar 17th, 2008

Seemingly, selling interest is BIG. Every recovery attempt is met with more than enough supply. And now we got the “GO AHEAD” from Helicopter Ben. He expects weak markets to continue. The investors say, Ok Ben … if you say so
Merill numbers were not too negative, but market took it still negative as still […]

Day 28

Donnerstag, Januar 17th, 2008

Situation:
U.S. Markets: Volatile session closing down. Not much to say. 2nd day we closed below 1391, which is the breakout mark out of a possible broadening top in the S&P. Waiting for today’s Bernanke speech and some results.
Asian Markets: Japan stocks climb as Dollar tries to recover on ECB comments, which were interpreted as “dovish”. […]

Day 25

Montag, Januar 14th, 2008

Situation:
U.S. Markets: Ended the week down up to 2% despite BoA taking over Countrywide Financial. Over the weekend speculation about new capital inflow for financial institutions from SWFs. Chinese and Arab buyers lining up, especially for Citibank and Merill Lynch. (pls. read my posts here) and here Rumours fly about the possible write offs, […]