with Oli | Strategies


Posts Tagged ‘outlook’

Asset Allocation Watch … out of bonds into equities

Dienstag, Februar 3rd, 2009

Over the last days we see increasing interest from investors to sell bonds and buy (back) equities.
Reasons are …
- the huge need of all Governments to finance their attempt to “save the planet”.
- the possible outperformance in future years as either the economy picks up or/and inflation rises.
- most people think, that NOW … […]

Investors still in denial …

Sonntag, Februar 1st, 2009

It is quite unbelievable … investors still are in denial about the facts …
They still live the dream, that after a bad 2008 … things HAVE TO become better …
Unfortunately … we are at the BEGINNING of the downfall … not the end …
EVERYTHING was built on LEVERAGE … and now … the leverage option […]

FED sets a new record …

Mittwoch, Januar 28th, 2009

To explain the unexplainable …
the FED issued the LONGEST statement on record … AUTSCH!!!
They keep buying time … needing always more words …
and they still have NO CLUE …
- The Committee anticipates that a gradual recovery in economic activity will begin later this year, but the downside risks to that outlook are significant.
READS: NO GROWTH […]

Monthend bounce …

Mittwoch, Januar 28th, 2009

Nice bounce for equities … as always towards the monthend …
Talk - suported … GOOD TIMES ARE JUST AROUND THE CORNER
Let’s see, how we fare this week and next week …
Still no(!) sign for a paradigm change …
Just to keep you posted …
For investors it still pays, NOT to be long …
DAX bounced […]

The next manipulation step is close … (printing money)

Mittwoch, Januar 21st, 2009

Centralbanks and Governments are desperately trying to turn the tide …
With the interest option out of question and the Governments’ pockets already showing some holes …
The ultimate weapon is about to be used …
JUST PRINT MONEY!!!!
Let the printing machine run all day and solve it that way … AUTSCH!!!
After the U.S., today the UK […]

Barack Obama takes office … market dives

Dienstag, Januar 20th, 2009

Barack Obama made it happen … he is president of the U.S.A.
The market reacted … “YES, WE CAN” … and sold off …
Now we will see, how Obama will make the CHANGE happen …
It will be an even BIGGER MIRACLE, if during his presidency we will trade new all-time-highs for the equities […]

The “Bear-Train” is about to leave the station …

Mittwoch, Januar 14th, 2009

One day before the ECB meets, markets sell off as news about the financial sectors scare buyers away and bring sellers back as markets trade in the RED for 2009 …
Today, Deutsche Bank surprised the markets with an early earnings report … record loss for Q4 … stock plummeted and still they are talking about […]

Be(a)rnanke shows you the way …

Dienstag, Januar 13th, 2009

No ‘lasting’ recovery without more bank aid … STILL!!!
Remember … yesterday, a big US Bank told us … 33% of the problem is solved … ONLY 33% … of the KNOWN problem AUTSCH!!!
And as always … Ben Boy talks soothing BS … stabilization later in the year … YEAH RIGHT 2010? 2011? Later?
WHEN??? will […]