with Oli | Strategies


Posts Tagged ‘outlook’

Bailout … so far … 3.5 TRILLION $

Mittwoch, November 12th, 2008

Keep on whisteling … DUCK AND COVER … After Bloomberg filed a lawsuit to get information from the FED, to whom they are lending its 2 TRILLION $ loans … Some people cared, listing the so far agreed “bailout sums” … Yes, $3.45 trillion has already been spent, as Bailoutsleuth.com details: $2T Emergency Fed Loans [...]

Waiting for the U.S. election … but WHY?

Montag, November 3rd, 2008

Markets … after the huge BOUNCE back … seemingly are dead in the water before the U.S. election … BUT WHY??? The outcome seems clear … Barack Obama … We know, that it will be January until he will take over … So … as fundamental news gets BLEAKER every day … why are the [...]

I am a bull … for now

Donnerstag, Oktober 16th, 2008

Reasons: – We had now an EXTREME Sell Off. – We had a RECORD VIX reading AND(!) today a higher reading, not confirmed by lower prices. – The VIX made a reversal today … after hitting 81(!!!) we closed at 67. – Breadth readings are at all time low. – Today, EVERYBODY I talked to [...]

The DAX … the guest’s view

Freitag, Oktober 10th, 2008

Here the chart and explanation of a friend of mine … Henning V. … Have a look Monthly DAX Chart reveals: SYMMETRY ! Pattern are often ruled by a “symmetry line”. Although this is not “official Technical Analysis” we obey these lines quite often in every time scale. What we often see is that the [...]

My thoughts on what happened last week …

Sonntag, September 21st, 2008

Just a list … not complete … not necessarily in order of importance … 1. Biggest manipulation of ALL TIME!!! 2. By doing this, we are ASSURED of a WAVE of INFLATION!!! 3. A currency reform will follow!!! 4. Investment Themes are SURVIVAL and DELEVERAGING!!! 5. Recession … here we come!!! 6. Don’t think, that [...]

Charts don’t lie :)

Dienstag, September 16th, 2008

Markets defended the KEY LEVELS !!! S&P 1200 FDAX 5900 Now concentration is on the quarterly expiration NEXT FRIDAY … We hit a 5-year-high in the VIX volatility index … If there is no big NEW bad news … WELCOME to the recovery!!! Take care !!!

RED lights blinking ….

Donnerstag, September 4th, 2008

In the case that markets close here (1.260 S&P) or lower at tomorrow’s close … And I expect that … to be honest Then we would face a FRESH WEEKLY SELL SIGNAL in the major indices Done with the summer holidays and back to work New yearly lows lurking … Expect some chart updates over [...]

Back to work … first impressions

Dienstag, September 2nd, 2008

Came back from summer vacation … and try to get back into the daily groove Not much change so far … still, what you hear in the financial news is not what you get First … August a strong month? … actually it trades lower than when I went on vacation. Second … Still the [...]